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As volatility settles markets look towards key US data July 1st, 2015
Financial markets are beginning to settle down after the significant volatility of earlier in the week. The hard facts are that although the IMF may call it being in “arrears”, Greece has effectively defaulted and...Read More ...
Euro volatility continues with Greece set to default June 30th, 2015
Today is almost certainly the day that Greece will default on its IMF repayment of €1.6bn. The IMF may not necessarily treat it as an outright default yet as it will still want to get its money back, however this is...Read More ...
Market sentiment plummets as Greece edges towards default June 29th, 2015
Suffice it to say, we can expect some significant volatility today. A chain of events has played out over the weekend which is now leaving Greece at significant risk of defaulting on its IMF loans totalling around...Read More ...
Tricky market consolidation continues as fx traders await Greek resolution June 26th, 2015
Financial markets are taking the uncertainty of the negotiations between Greece and its creditors rather calmly. Despite a very real risk of a default on 30th June, markets have held up remarkably well. There has... Read More ...
BoJ intervention finally encourages a turnaround for the yen June 10th, 2015
In the wake of last week’s Non-farm Payrolls, Treasury yields continue to move higher but equity markets have continued to stumble The dollar has also hit the buffers a little in the past few days, culminating in a sharp reversal agai...
US dollar paring recent gains on a day light on announcements June 8th, 2015
Financial markets will continue to digest the improvement in the Non-farm Payrolls report on Friday which drove a stronger dollar once more. The report will now stoke up the debate over the possibility of an October or even September rate h...
Greek payment delay drives a slightly negative sentiment with Payrolls due June 5th, 2015
Markets remain incredibly volatile, with huge intraday swings. The bond markets are continuing to drive sentiment across the board and yesterday’s sharp intraday turnaround on the 10 year Bund yield has again dramatically turned the e...
Markets are cautious early on as the deadline for Greece looms June 4th, 2015
Yesterday was another absolutely remarkable session, as the Eurozone sovereign bond yields have continued to soar. Helped higher by Mario Draghi’s ECB press conference which showed an upward revision to inflation projections...Read Mo...
Euro pushes higher as Greece mulls over a potential deal June 3rd, 2015
An incredible day yesterday has completely turned around the near term outlook once more. A whole raft of factors came together to strengthen the euro and weaken the dollar. The prospect of a deal for Greece is now on the table after an agr...
Caution taking over trading sentiment with focus on Greece and economic data June 2nd, 2015
Markets remain cautious/sensitive on Greece, which is moving ever closer to Friday’s deadline for the €300m repayment without a deal in place that would allow the debt to be paid. In addition to this, markets are also mindful of ...
Sentiment shows early signs of improvement as equities find support June 1st, 2015
The pressure is mounting even more this week as Friday’s supposed deadline for Greece to repay €300m to the IMF comes ever closer into view. The problem is that the negotiations over the release of a...Read More ...
US dollar rebound begins to run out of steam in front of growth figures May 29th, 2015
The mixed signals regarding the prospects of a deal for Greece in the past few days have been difficult to fathom. Greece have been insisting that a deal could done by Sunday, whilst the European Commission have denied these claims, whilst ...
Euro looking to rebound with prospects of a Greece deal improving May 28th, 2015
The remarkable on/off saga over the possible deal that seems to be close (or not) between Greece and its creditors has had a significant impact on the markets. The improvement in sentiment on equities and also the euro, whilst also pulling ...
Dollar gathering momentum with breakout against the yen May 26th, 2015
With Janet Yellen suggesting that the Fed remains on a fairly steady path towards tightening, the US dollar has just regained the ascendency and is looking to gather momentum again today. With public holidays in many major markets yesterday...
Markets still struggling for conviction despite slight dollar weakness May 22nd, 2015
The markets have taken on a mixed outlook in the wake of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday. There has been an element of uncertain consolidation which has stopped the dollar recovery in its tracks and given financial markets far more of a range...
Markets in consolidation mode after FOMC minutes reveal little May 21st, 2015
The strength of the dollar in the past few days has had a sizable impact and is changing the outlook on several key markets. However, there has been a muted reaction to the meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve. The breaks ...Read More ...
Euro selling pressure continues, signalling a change in medium term outlook May 20th, 2015
There has been a significant change in market tack in the past 24 hours. A whole string of factors have contrived to turn the market back towards the dollar with the euro under significant pressure. The dovish comments from the...Read More ...
Euro may need favourable economic data to prevent correction from continuing May 19th, 2015
There are mixed signals on Greece which are causing market fluctuations currently. Although Greek Prime Minister Tsipras appears confident that a deal could be close, other European sources appear to contradict this view, whilst there are a...
US economic data and sovereign bond yields to continue to drive markets this week May 18th, 2015
If the US data continues like this, the Fed will find it difficult to tighten monetary policy this year, let alone in the summer. According to Fed Funds futures, the CME Group Fed Watch now suggests a 0% chance of a June rate hike. This com...
Trading is cautious as falling Treasury yields support the dollar May 18th, 2015
With US data continuing to disappoint, the expectations for Fed rate tightening are being pushed back. This is beginning to see a negative drift on Treasury yields which is resulting in support for the US dollar with Wall Street able to dra...
Settling bond yields giving the dollar some respite from the sellers May 15th, 2015
With US Treasury yields calming down their recent rise yesterday (on the back of a further decline in the US Producer Price Index), equities markets were able to regain some upside initiative once more. This seems to now be the theme of tra...
US dollar continues to be sold off as bond yields pull higher May 14th, 2015
Financial markets continue to be pulled around by movements in the bond markets. Yields moving back higher into the close on Treasuries yesterday push selling pressure into equities and the US dollar is also under selling pressure once more...
Sterling volatility starting to build as UK goes to the polls May 7th, 2015
There are significant questions that are being asked of the dollar bulls now as the Dollar Index continues to fall away and major pairs such as EUR/USD have broken out. The concern is that the US...Read More ...
US dollar coming under pressure again amid faltering economic data May 6th, 2015
A sharp deterioration in the US trade deficit spooked investors in the US yesterday that the strong dollar was beginning to have a significant impact on the US economy and that the disappointing GDP print for...Read More ...
Mixed outlook on markets as traders begin to position for FOMC April 28th, 2015
Markets are becoming increasingly cautious as the key FOMC meeting begins to dominate the thoughts of traders. It is notable this time around though that in the past few trading sessions as we...Read More ...
Quiet start to the week as traders seem to be eyeing the Fed already April 27th, 2015
There are a number of conflicting factors at play in financial markets at the moment which means that decision making is becoming increasingly tough. Greece as yet remains unable to...Read More ...
Sentiment turns weaker after disappointing Chinese flash PMI April 23rd, 2015
There is an uncertain feel to financial markets at the moment. Earnings season in the US has failed to ignite the bulls on Wall Street, where despite a string of positive corporate numbers and a nice beat of ...Read More ...
Dollar bulls failing to get traction with Greece at the forefront April 22nd, 2015
The euro was boosted yesterday afternoon as news began to filter through that the talks between Greece and the Eurozone were working through the proposals, although deal...Read More ...
Dollar bulls beginning to regain some positive traction once again April 21st, 2015
It almost seems as though there is a different driving factor for the markets every day at the moment, and yesterday was the turn of China. So what will it be today then? Well, the standoff with Greece and...Read More ...
Sentiment improves amid further easing measures from China April 20th, 2015
Markets come into the new week with mixed messages. The selling pressure that signed off last week has abated slightly and there is an element of support. The negative impact of new...Read More ...
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