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DAX consolidation has some worrying signs for the bulls


DAX Xetra (cash index)

The outlook for the DAX has increasingly lacked conviction in recent weeks.

This has resulted in the recovery uptrend channel being broken by a decisive slide last week, but the sellers have so far failed to really grasp control of the market.

Subsequently the market is now fluctuating around the old 12,600 pivot, whilst the moving averages have converged together (within 40 ticks of each other in a broadly neutral configuration now.

There is an argument to say that there is a marginal negative bias in the way the techncials are forming, with the Stochastics in decline and the MACD lines just crossing back lower, but there is very little that is decisive about the chart right now.

This marginal negative bias is also reflected on the hourly chart momentum indicators, trading under all the moving averages which are rolling over.

  • The initial support at 12,493 is now the key level to watch, as having found support and bounced, if the selling pressure then resumes to break for a lower low in this current phase there would be a topping pattern having formed.
  • The next support at 12,400 would come straight into focus, but realistically it would then begin to drive momentum for a retracement back to the key June low at 12,104.
  • Friday’s high at 12,644 is initial resistance with a small pivot around 12,700 a near term ceiling.

 


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At Hantec Markets Ltd we provide an execution only service. Any opinions expressed by analyst Richard Perry should not be construed as investment advice or an investment recommendation. This report does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Forex and CFDs are leveraged products which can result in losses greater than your initial deposit. Therefore you should only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved, seeking independent advice if necessary prior to entering into such transactions.