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DAX rebounds but there is a legacy from the breakdown

DAX Xetra (cash index)

Despite the fact that the DAX is trading higher today, European equity markets are under increasing negative pressure.

This is reflected on the DAX which posted a huge bearish outside day/bearish engulfing candle in yesterday’s session which closed 195 ticks lower on the day and below the support at 11,400.

The recent run of sessions have been a swathe of broadly negative candlesticks, with only the occasional brief respite on rebound.

This latest early bounce should be another opportunity to sell.

Look at the bear cross on the Stochastics giving a sell signal, whilst the MACD lines are already tailing off now under neutral and the RSI recently failed under 50.

Rallies are a chance to sell.

  • The old band of support 11,400/11,445 is a basis of resistance now and a near term sell-zone.
  • Yesterday’s early high at 11,599 is a key lower high now under the 11,649 and 11,690 previous lower highs in November.

Hourly momentum is now back in negative configuration and technical rallies are likely to now struggle for traction.

  • Expect pressure back on yesterday’s low at 11,310 whilst 11,213 and the key low at 11,051 are likely to be retested in due course.

The one big caveat is a news driven risk rally on progress towards agreement on the Italian budget, but in the current outlook, further weakness is expected.


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At Hantec Markets Ltd we provide an execution only service. Any opinions expressed by analyst Richard Perry should not be construed as investment advice or an investment recommendation. This report does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Forex and CFDs are leveraged products which can result in losses greater than your initial deposit. Therefore you should only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved, seeking independent advice if necessary prior to entering into such transactions.