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Is the DAX bull run about to see profit-taking?


DAX Xetra (cash index)

As the recovery has accelerated higher in recent sessions the DAX is finding a little resistance this morning which has threatened a corrective move.

After such a strong run of gains and positive candlesticks, it will be interesting to see how the bulls respond to this early slip.

Will it be a concern that this is coming as the RSI has hit 60, an area where the rallies of July and August began to lose momentum?

  • There is a band of resistance between 12,400/12,600 and on a medium term basis, a sell signal around here could be an excuse to take profits.

The market remains under the three month downtrend (which comes in around 12,500 today), but equally there is the support of a two week uptrend coming in at 12,230 today, so in terms of trend, there is some room for an unwind within the near term trend without too much disruption.

  • There is a gap still open from Friday’s pull higher at 12,354 which if closed would add to near term corrective momentum, so how the bulls respond to this gap could be key near term.
  • Filling the gap (touching below 12,354 only to close back above it) would be seen as a positive response, especially with a close back above 12,400 (which would leave a positive candle).

However, on the hourly chart there is a MACD cross sell signal and some unwinding momentum building which would put pressure on initial support between 12,300/12,350 support.

  • Friday’s high at 12,438 is initial resistance.

 


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At Hantec Markets Ltd we provide an execution only service. Any opinions expressed by analyst Richard Perry should not be construed as investment advice or an investment recommendation. This report does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Forex and CFDs are leveraged products which can result in losses greater than your initial deposit. Therefore you should only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved, seeking independent advice if necessary prior to entering into such transactions.